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Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne vs Nantes prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Saint Etienne host Nantes in the Ligue 2 (France) on 24 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Saint Etienne Win — Saint Etienne to win. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Saint Etienne had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 9. Nantes had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Saint Etienne's last 10 and 6 of Nantes's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Saint Etienne averaged 2.62 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Nantes averaged 1.09 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.24 goals from Saint Etienne and 0.98 from Nantes. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 14%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Saint Etienne (green) and Nantes (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | WWWDL | 2.70 | 0.90 | 60% | 80% |
| Nantes | LDWLW | 1.60 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Saint Etienne Win | 55% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 2 matches that day
- Dijon vs Rodez · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ligue 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 - Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ligue 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67