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Birinci Dasta · Azerbaijan
Şahdağ vs Zaqatala prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Şahdağ host Zaqatala in the Birinci Dasta (Azerbaijan) on 7 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Şahdağ Win — Şahdağ to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Şahdağ 6–0 Zaqatala.
Going into the match, Şahdağ had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 2. Zaqatala had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Şahdağ's last 10 and 5 of Zaqatala's last 10; 2 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Şahdağ averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Zaqatala averaged 1.00 scored and 3.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 4.30 goals from Şahdağ and 0.34 from Zaqatala. From that it rates a home win at 96%, a draw at 3% and an away win at 1%, against 58%, 24% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 96%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Şahdağ (green) and Zaqatala (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Apr 2026 · Zaqatala 0–1 Şahdağ
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.37 |
| Şahdağ Win | 58% | 1.55 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Şahdağ HT & FT | 39% | 2.38 |
| 1-0 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.