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Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · Spain

Saguntino vs Utiel prediction and preview

4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsNo priceFinal score 3–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Saguntino host Utiel in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Saguntino 3–2 Utiel.

Going into the match, Saguntino had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Utiel had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 9, with 9 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Saguntino's last 10 and 6 of Utiel's last 9; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Saguntino averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Utiel averaged 0.75 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.12 goals from Saguntino and 0.93 from Utiel. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 15%. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Saguntino (green) and Utiel (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form57% – 43%
Attack67% – 33%
Defence44% – 56%
Head-to-head64% – 36%
Goals64% – 36%
Overall strength59% – 40%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
SaguntinoDLLLW1.201.5050%70%
UtielDLDDW1.001.3367%33%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

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