Home › League stats › J2 League › Sagan Tosu vs Omiya Ardija

J2 League · Japan

Sagan Tosu vs Omiya Ardija prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2No priceFinal score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Sagan Tosu host Omiya Ardija in the J2 League (Japan) on 17 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Omiya Ardija to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Sagan Tosu 2–1 Omiya Ardija.

Going into the match, Sagan Tosu had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Omiya Ardija had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Sagan Tosu's last 10 and 7 of Omiya Ardija's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sagan Tosu averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.87 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Omiya Ardija averaged 1.71 scored and 1.79 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.73 goals from Sagan Tosu and 1.24 from Omiya Ardija. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 26%. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Sagan Tosu (green) and Omiya Ardija (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form25% – 75%
Attack17% – 83%
Defence36% – 64%
Head-to-head75% – 25%
Goals75% – 25%
Overall strength43% – 56%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Sagan TosuWWLDL0.901.1040%30%
Omiya ArdijaWLDWD1.701.2070%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other J2 League matches that day