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J2 League · Japan
Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sagan Tosu host Fujieda MYFC in the J2 League (Japan) on 10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sagan Tosu 1–0 Fujieda MYFC.
Going into the match, Sagan Tosu had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Fujieda MYFC had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Sagan Tosu's last 10 and 7 of Fujieda MYFC's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sagan Tosu averaged 2.23 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Fujieda MYFC averaged 1.25 scored and 1.19 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Sagan Tosu and 0.91 from Fujieda MYFC. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 26%, against 52%, 27% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sagan Tosu (green) and Fujieda MYFC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagan Tosu | LDLLL | 1.20 | 1.20 | 40% | 40% |
| Fujieda MYFC | DLDLD | 1.40 | 1.40 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| Sagan Tosu Win | 51% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.