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J3 League · Japan
Sagamihara vs Osaka prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sagamihara host Osaka in the J3 League (Japan) on 3 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sagamihara 1–0 Osaka.
Going into the match, Sagamihara had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Osaka had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Sagamihara's last 10 and 6 of Osaka's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sagamihara averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Osaka averaged 1.50 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.49 goals from Sagamihara and 1.63 from Osaka. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 40%, against 37%, 27% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sagamihara (green) and Osaka (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagamihara | DLWDL | 1.70 | 1.30 | 70% | 80% |
| Osaka | DWWWD | 2.10 | 0.70 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Sagamihara Win | 37% | 2.40 |
| 1-0 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.