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J3 League · Japan
Sagamihara vs Kamatamare Sanuki prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sagamihara host Kamatamare Sanuki in the J3 League (Japan) on 9 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.85, which the bookmaker market rated at about 52% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sagamihara 3–2 Kamatamare Sanuki.
Going into the match, Sagamihara had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Kamatamare Sanuki had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Sagamihara's last 10 and 5 of Kamatamare Sanuki's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sagamihara averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Kamatamare Sanuki averaged 0.91 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.52 goals from Sagamihara and 1.17 from Kamatamare Sanuki. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 15%, against 50%, 26% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sagamihara (green) and Kamatamare Sanuki (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagamihara | WDLWD | 1.50 | 1.30 | 70% | 70% |
| Kamatamare Sanuki | DLLLL | 0.90 | 1.90 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| Sagamihara Win | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Sagamihara HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.