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Premier League · Lebanon
Safa vs Reyady Abaseya prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Safa host Reyady Abaseya in the Premier League (Lebanon) on 8 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Safa Win — Safa to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Safa 2–1 Reyady Abaseya.
Going into the match, Safa had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 7 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Reyady Abaseya had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 8, with 12 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Safa's last 7 and 3 of Reyady Abaseya's last 8; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Safa averaged 4.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Reyady Abaseya averaged 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.65 goals from Safa and 0.99 from Reyady Abaseya. From that it rates a home win at 72%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 11%, against 56%, 25% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Safa (green) and Reyady Abaseya (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safa | WDLWW | 2.00 | 1.71 | 71% | 71% |
| Reyady Abaseya | WWDWW | 1.50 | 1.25 | 38% | 63% |
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 20 Jun 2026 · Reyady Abaseya 2–4 Safa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.37 |
| Safa Win | 56% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Safa HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.