Home › League stats › Premyer Liqa › Safa Baku vs Turan
Premyer Liqa · Azerbaijan
Safa Baku vs Turan prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Safa Baku host Turan in the Premyer Liqa (Azerbaijan) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Turan Win — Turan to win. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Safa Baku 0–1 Turan.
Going into the match, Safa Baku had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 13. Turan had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Safa Baku's last 10 and 4 of Turan's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Safa Baku averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Turan averaged 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.58 goals from Safa Baku and 0.94 from Turan. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 41%, against 14%, 24% and 62% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 41%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Safa Baku (green) and Turan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Turan Win | 63% | 1.45 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.