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Second League - Group 3 · Russia
Ryazan vs Avangard Kursk prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ryazan host Avangard Kursk in the Second League - Group 3 (Russia) on 4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.26, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ryazan 4–0 Avangard Kursk.
Going into the match, Ryazan had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 6. Avangard Kursk had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Ryazan's last 10 and 8 of Avangard Kursk's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ryazan averaged 1.46 goals scored and 0.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Avangard Kursk averaged 1.10 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.09 goals from Ryazan and 0.52 from Avangard Kursk. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 7%, against 59%, 23% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ryazan (green) and Avangard Kursk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryazan | WWDWL | 1.80 | 0.60 | 30% | 30% |
| Avangard Kursk | DDLWL | 1.10 | 1.50 | 80% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Jun 2026 · Avangard Kursk 0–0 Ryazan
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.26 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.34 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| Ryazan Win | 59% | 1.61 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.90 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 31% | 2.99 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.