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FAW Championship · Wales
Ruthin Town vs Rhyl prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ruthin Town host Rhyl in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ruthin Town 1–1 Rhyl.
Going into the match, Ruthin Town had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 20. Rhyl had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Ruthin Town's last 10 and 8 of Rhyl's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ruthin Town averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Rhyl averaged 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Ruthin Town and 1.87 from Rhyl. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 50%, against 30%, 23% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ruthin Town (green) and Rhyl (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruthin Town | DWLLL | 0.90 | 2.00 | 50% | 70% |
| Rhyl | LLDDW | 1.70 | 2.10 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| Double Chance X2 | 70% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Rhyl Win | 45% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.38 |
| Rhyl HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.