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Friendlies · International
Russia vs Nigeria prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Russia host Nigeria in the Friendlies (International) on 6 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Russia to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.23, which the bookmaker market rated at about 79% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Russia 3–3 Nigeria.
Going into the match, Russia had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 1. Nigeria had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6, with 10 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 0 of Russia's last 5 and 3 of Nigeria's last 6; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Russia averaged 3.50 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Nigeria averaged 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.
The 1X2 prices imply about 52% for Russia, 27% for the draw and 21% for Nigeria once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Russia (green) and Nigeria (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 6 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 79% | 1.23 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.39 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.85 |
| Russia Win | 52% | 1.90 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.