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Second League - Group 1 · Russia
Rubin Yalta vs Astrakhan prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rubin Yalta host Astrakhan in the Second League - Group 1 (Russia) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Rubin Yalta Win — Rubin Yalta to win. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rubin Yalta 3–1 Astrakhan.
Going into the match, Rubin Yalta had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 12. Astrakhan had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Rubin Yalta's last 10 and 5 of Astrakhan's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rubin Yalta averaged 2.27 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Astrakhan averaged 1.21 scored and 1.50 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.82 goals from Rubin Yalta and 0.91 from Astrakhan. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 18%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rubin Yalta (green) and Astrakhan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin Yalta | LWWLL | 1.80 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
| Astrakhan | DLWDL | 0.90 | 1.40 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Astrakhan 0–0 Rubin Yalta
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| Rubin Yalta Win | 55% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.