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First League · Russia
Rotor Volgograd vs Volga Ulyanovsk prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rotor Volgograd host Volga Ulyanovsk in the First League (Russia) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Rotor Volgograd to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rotor Volgograd 2–2 Volga Ulyanovsk.
Going into the match, Rotor Volgograd had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 12. Volga Ulyanovsk had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Rotor Volgograd's last 10 and 5 of Volga Ulyanovsk's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rotor Volgograd averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Volga Ulyanovsk averaged 1.07 scored and 1.20 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Rotor Volgograd and 0.97 from Volga Ulyanovsk. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 25%, against 50%, 27% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rotor Volgograd (green) and Volga Ulyanovsk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotor Volgograd | WWLDL | 1.50 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Volga Ulyanovsk | WLLDD | 1.20 | 1.20 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · Rotor Volgograd 0–0 Volga Ulyanovsk
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.34 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.72 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.79 |
| Rotor Volgograd Win | 50% | 1.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.