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First League · Russia
Rotor Volgograd vs FC Sochi prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rotor Volgograd host FC Sochi in the First League (Russia) on 16 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.37, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rotor Volgograd 0–1 FC Sochi.
Going into the match, Rotor Volgograd had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 12. FC Sochi had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Rotor Volgograd's last 10 and 6 of FC Sochi's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rotor Volgograd averaged 1.69 goals scored and 0.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home FC Sochi averaged 1.36 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from Rotor Volgograd and 1.32 from FC Sochi. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 35%, against 36%, 30% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rotor Volgograd (green) and FC Sochi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotor Volgograd | DWWLD | 1.60 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| FC Sochi | WDWLL | 1.40 | 1.00 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.66 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 55% | 1.71 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.22 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.