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League Two · England
Rotherham vs Gillingham prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rotherham host Gillingham in the League Two (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rotherham 1–4 Gillingham.
Going into the match, Rotherham had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Gillingham had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Rotherham's last 10 and 4 of Gillingham's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rotherham averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Gillingham averaged 1.44 scored and 1.56 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Rotherham and 1.38 from Gillingham. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 40%, against 50%, 27% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rotherham (green) and Gillingham (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotherham | LLDDW | 1.10 | 1.50 | 60% | 40% |
| Gillingham | DLLWW | 1.20 | 1.30 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Rotherham Win | 49% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.