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3. Liga · Germany
Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rot-Weiß Essen host SSV Jahn Regensburg in the 3. Liga (Germany) on 23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Rot-Weiß Essen had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 10. SSV Jahn Regensburg had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Rot-Weiß Essen's last 10 and 6 of SSV Jahn Regensburg's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rot-Weiß Essen averaged 2.17 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home SSV Jahn Regensburg averaged 2.50 scored and 2.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.12 goals from Rot-Weiß Essen and 1.45 from SSV Jahn Regensburg. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 25%, against 57%, 22% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rot-Weiß Essen (green) and SSV Jahn Regensburg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Essen | LWDDD | 1.90 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | DDWLD | 1.50 | 2.30 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.