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3. Liga · Germany
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rot-Weiß Essen host Fortuna Köln in the 3. Liga (Germany) on 13 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rot-Weiß Essen 2–0 Fortuna Köln.
Going into the match, Rot-Weiß Essen had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 14. Fortuna Köln had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Rot-Weiß Essen's last 10 and 4 of Fortuna Köln's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rot-Weiß Essen averaged 2.18 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Fortuna Köln averaged 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Rot-Weiß Essen and 1.04 from Fortuna Köln. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 27%, against 60%, 23% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rot-Weiß Essen (green) and Fortuna Köln (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Essen | DDDWW | 2.00 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
| Fortuna Köln | DWLDD | 1.20 | 0.80 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 80% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen Win | 62% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.