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Challenge Cup · Scotland
Ross County vs Forfar Athletic prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ross County host Forfar Athletic in the Challenge Cup (Scotland) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.59, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ross County 2–1 Forfar Athletic.
Going into the match, Ross County had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 47 and conceding 11. Forfar Athletic had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Ross County's last 10 and 6 of Forfar Athletic's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ross County averaged 4.08 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Forfar Athletic averaged 0.73 scored and 2.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 5.54 goals from Ross County and 0.65 from Forfar Athletic. From that it rates a home win at 97%, a draw at 2% and an away win at 1%, against 73%, 15% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ross County (green) and Forfar Athletic (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross County | WWWWW | 4.70 | 1.10 | 40% | 90% |
| Forfar Athletic | LLWWL | 1.00 | 1.70 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ross County Win | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.59 |
| Ross County 1st Half Win | 58% | 1.57 |
| Ross County HT & FT | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 52% | 1.79 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.