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League One · Scotland
Ross County vs Alloa Athletic prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ross County host Alloa Athletic in the League One (Scotland) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Ross County Win — Ross County to win. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ross County 4–1 Alloa Athletic.
Going into the match, Ross County had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 45 and conceding 11. Alloa Athletic had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Ross County's last 10 and 6 of Alloa Athletic's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ross County averaged 4.09 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Alloa Athletic averaged 0.73 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.89 goals from Ross County and 0.86 from Alloa Athletic. From that it rates a home win at 78%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 8%, against 69%, 20% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ross County (green) and Alloa Athletic (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross County | WWWWL | 4.50 | 1.10 | 40% | 90% |
| Alloa Athletic | DWLLD | 1.80 | 0.90 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Ross County Win | 69% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Ross County 1st Half Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.