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Ettan - Södra · Sweden
Rosengård vs Atvidabergs FF prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rosengård host Atvidabergs FF in the Ettan - Södra (Sweden) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rosengård 1–1 Atvidabergs FF.
Going into the match, Rosengård had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 16. Atvidabergs FF had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Rosengård's last 10 and 8 of Atvidabergs FF's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rosengård averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Atvidabergs FF averaged 1.58 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from Rosengård and 1.60 from Atvidabergs FF. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 36%, against 49%, 24% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rosengård (green) and Atvidabergs FF (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosengård | LWDLL | 1.40 | 1.60 | 60% | 50% |
| Atvidabergs FF | DWWLW | 1.90 | 1.50 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Jun 2026 · Atvidabergs FF 3–3 Rosengård
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.