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3. Division - Girone 2 · Norway
Rosenborg II vs Melhus prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rosenborg II host Melhus in the 3. Division - Girone 2 (Norway) on 2 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Melhus to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rosenborg II 1–4 Melhus.
Going into the match, Rosenborg II had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 17. Melhus had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Rosenborg II's last 10 and 5 of Melhus's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rosenborg II averaged 2.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Melhus averaged 2.00 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.47 goals from Rosenborg II and 1.51 from Melhus. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 38%, against 41%, 21% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rosenborg II (green) and Melhus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg II | WWLLL | 2.70 | 1.70 | 80% | 90% |
| Melhus | LLLWL | 1.90 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Jun 2026 · Melhus 1–1 Rosenborg II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 63% | 1.45 |
| Double Chance 1X | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Melhus Win | 38% | 2.35 |
| Rosenborg II HT & FT | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.