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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rosario Central host Independ. Rivadavia in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Rosario Central to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rosario Central 5–0 Independ. Rivadavia.
Going into the match, Rosario Central had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Independ. Rivadavia had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Rosario Central's last 10 and 6 of Independ. Rivadavia's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rosario Central averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Independ. Rivadavia averaged 1.15 scored and 0.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from Rosario Central and 0.96 from Independ. Rivadavia. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 20%, against 47%, 30% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rosario Central (green) and Independ. Rivadavia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosario Central | DWWWD | 1.10 | 0.80 | 50% | 30% |
| Independ. Rivadavia | DWDWL | 1.40 | 1.20 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.75 |
| Rosario Central Win | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.