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Serie D - Girone E · Italy
Rondinella vs Progresso prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rondinella host Progresso in the Serie D - Girone E (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Rondinella to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Rondinella 2–1 Progresso.
Going into the match, Rondinella had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 9. Progresso had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 11 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Rondinella's last 5 and 6 of Progresso's last 9; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rondinella averaged 0.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Progresso averaged 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from Rondinella and 0.73 from Progresso. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 19%. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rondinella (green) and Progresso (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rondinella | LDLLD | 0.60 | 1.80 | 40% | 60% |
| Progresso | LLLWL | 1.22 | 1.89 | 67% | 67% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.