Home › League stats › Serie A Women › Roma W vs Lazio W
Serie A Women · Italy
Roma W vs Lazio W prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Roma W host Lazio W in the Serie A Women (Italy) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Roma W 3–1 Lazio W.
Going into the match, Roma W had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 11. Lazio W had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 8, with 13 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Roma W's last 10 and 4 of Lazio W's last 8; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Roma W averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Lazio W averaged 1.67 scored and 2.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.57 goals from Roma W and 0.81 from Lazio W. From that it rates a home win at 75%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 9%, against 66%, 20% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Roma W (green) and Lazio W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Roma W Win | 66% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Roma W HT & FT | 48% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.