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Serie A Women · Italy
Roma W vs AC Milan W prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Roma W host AC Milan W in the Serie A Women (Italy) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Roma W Win — Roma W to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Roma W 4–2 AC Milan W.
Going into the match, Roma W had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 12. AC Milan W had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 9 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Roma W's last 10 and 5 of AC Milan W's last 9; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Roma W averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home AC Milan W averaged 0.25 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.60 goals from Roma W and 1.13 from AC Milan W. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 14%, against 63%, 21% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Roma W (green) and AC Milan W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma W | WLWDD | 2.10 | 1.20 | 40% | 60% |
| AC Milan W | WLLWD | 1.00 | 1.22 | 56% | 44% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Roma W Win | 65% | 1.42 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.