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Cup · Bulgaria
Rodopa Smolyan vs Nesebar prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rodopa Smolyan host Nesebar in the Cup (Bulgaria) on 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Nesebar to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Rodopa Smolyan 1–1 Nesebar.
Going into the match, Rodopa Smolyan had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 19. Nesebar had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Rodopa Smolyan's last 10 and 5 of Nesebar's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rodopa Smolyan averaged 2.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Nesebar averaged 1.50 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.79 goals from Rodopa Smolyan and 2.74 from Nesebar. From that it rates a home win at 8%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 78%. For the published pick itself the model gives 92%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rodopa Smolyan (green) and Nesebar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodopa Smolyan | LWDDL | 1.70 | 1.90 | 50% | 60% |
| Nesebar | LWDWL | 1.90 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.