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Ligue 2 · France
Rodez vs Montpellier prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rodez host Montpellier in the Ligue 2 (France) on 19 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rodez 0–3 Montpellier.
Going into the match, Rodez had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 22. Montpellier had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Rodez's last 10 and 4 of Montpellier's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rodez averaged 2.55 goals scored and 1.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Montpellier averaged 1.00 scored and 0.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Rodez and 1.83 from Montpellier. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 47%, against 32%, 27% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rodez (green) and Montpellier (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodez | LWLLL | 1.80 | 2.20 | 60% | 60% |
| Montpellier | WDWLD | 1.30 | 0.70 | 40% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · Montpellier 4–2 Rodez
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 80% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.