Home › League stats › Eerste Divisie › Roda vs Jong PSV U21
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda vs Jong PSV U21 prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Roda host Jong PSV U21 in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Roda 1–1 Jong PSV U21.
Going into the match, Roda had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Jong PSV U21 had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Roda's last 10 and 9 of Jong PSV U21's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Roda averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Jong PSV U21 averaged 1.29 scored and 2.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.72 goals from Roda and 0.77 from Jong PSV U21. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 16%, against 55%, 23% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Roda (green) and Jong PSV U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roda | LWDWD | 1.10 | 1.10 | 40% | 30% |
| Jong PSV U21 | LDLWD | 1.50 | 1.70 | 90% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Roda Win | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.