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First Amateur Division · Belgium
Rochefort vs Standard Liège II prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rochefort host Standard Liège II in the First Amateur Division (Belgium) on 3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Rochefort Win — Rochefort to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rochefort 1–0 Standard Liège II.
Going into the match, Rochefort had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 14. Standard Liège II had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 10 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Rochefort's last 10 and 3 of Standard Liège II's last 9; 7 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rochefort averaged 2.44 goals scored and 2.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Standard Liège II averaged 0.75 scored and 0.50 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from Rochefort and 1.02 from Standard Liège II. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 22%, against 56%, 23% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rochefort (green) and Standard Liège II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochefort | DWDLW | 2.40 | 1.40 | 80% | 70% |
| Standard Liège II | LDLLD | 1.11 | 0.67 | 33% | 22% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.56 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.60 |
| Rochefort Win | 56% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Rochefort HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 1-0 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.