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Serie D - Girone E · Italy
Robur Siena vs Seravezza prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Robur Siena host Seravezza in the Serie D - Girone E (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Robur Siena 2–1 Seravezza.
Going into the match, Robur Siena had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 15. Seravezza had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Robur Siena's last 10 and 4 of Seravezza's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Robur Siena averaged 2.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Seravezza averaged 1.50 scored and 0.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Robur Siena and 1.09 from Seravezza. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 35%, against 42%, 28% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Robur Siena (green) and Seravezza (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robur Siena | LWLWD | 2.40 | 1.50 | 70% | 60% |
| Seravezza | WWDWL | 1.80 | 0.50 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Seravezza 1–4 Robur Siena
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
| Robur Siena Win | 42% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.