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League Two · China
Rizhao Yuqi vs Guangdong Mingtu prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rizhao Yuqi host Guangdong Mingtu in the League Two (China) on 11 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rizhao Yuqi 1–2 Guangdong Mingtu.
Going into the match, Rizhao Yuqi had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Guangdong Mingtu had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Rizhao Yuqi's last 10 and 2 of Guangdong Mingtu's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rizhao Yuqi averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.64 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Guangdong Mingtu averaged 0.92 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.72 goals from Rizhao Yuqi and 0.67 from Guangdong Mingtu. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 41% and an away win at 28%, against 47%, 31% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rizhao Yuqi (green) and Guangdong Mingtu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizhao Yuqi | LWWLD | 1.10 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
| Guangdong Mingtu | DDWLW | 0.90 | 0.40 | 20% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.60 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Rizhao Yuqi Win | 46% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.88 |
| Rizhao Yuqi HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.