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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
River Plate host Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 11 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: River Plate 1–0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.
Going into the match, River Plate had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of River Plate's last 10 and 5 of Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home River Plate averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.06 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto averaged 0.67 scored and 1.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from River Plate and 0.55 from Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 10%, against 80%, 15% and 4% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between River Plate (green) and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| River Plate | LWWWD | 1.40 | 1.10 | 60% | 50% |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | LLLLD | 0.50 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| BTTS No | 69% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| River Plate 1st Half Win | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.