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Reserve League · Argentina
River Plate Res. vs Sarmiento Res. prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
River Plate Res. host Sarmiento Res. in the Reserve League (Argentina) on 1 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — River Plate Res. to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.10, which the bookmaker market rated at about 84% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: River Plate Res. 1–0 Sarmiento Res..
Going into the match, River Plate Res. had won 4, drawn 6 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 8. Sarmiento Res. had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of River Plate Res.'s last 10 and 4 of Sarmiento Res.'s last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home River Plate Res. averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Sarmiento Res. averaged 1.09 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from River Plate Res. and 0.64 from Sarmiento Res.. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 15%, against 65%, 22% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between River Plate Res. (green) and Sarmiento Res. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| River Plate Res. | DDDWD | 1.70 | 0.80 | 50% | 60% |
| Sarmiento Res. | WLDDD | 1.10 | 0.60 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Apr 2026 · Sarmiento Res. 2–3 River Plate Res.