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Virsliga · Latvia
Rīgas FS vs Super Nova prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rīgas FS host Super Nova in the Virsliga (Latvia) on 15 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rīgas FS 4–0 Super Nova.
Going into the match, Rīgas FS had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 13. Super Nova had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Rīgas FS's last 10 and 3 of Super Nova's last 10; 7 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rīgas FS averaged 3.00 goals scored and 1.06 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Super Nova averaged 0.85 scored and 0.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.40 goals from Rīgas FS and 0.50 from Super Nova. From that it rates a home win at 79%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 5%, against 81%, 12% and 7% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rīgas FS (green) and Super Nova (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rīgas FS | WDWDL | 2.30 | 1.30 | 70% | 70% |
| Super Nova | WLLWW | 0.80 | 0.70 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Aug 2026 · Super Nova 0–1 Rīgas FS
- 29 May 2026 · Super Nova 1–2 Rīgas FS
- 18 Apr 2026 · Rīgas FS 2–0 Super Nova
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rīgas FS HT & FT | 63% | 1.50 |
| Rīgas FS 1st Half Win | 63% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| 2-0 | 13% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.