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1. Liga · Latvia
Rīgas FS II vs Mārupe prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rīgas FS II host Mārupe in the 1. Liga (Latvia) on 10 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Rīgas FS II to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Rīgas FS II 2–3 Mārupe.
Going into the match, Rīgas FS II had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 37. Mārupe had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Rīgas FS II's last 10 and 4 of Mārupe's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rīgas FS II averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Mārupe averaged 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.81 goals from Rīgas FS II and 1.92 from Mārupe. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 41%. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rīgas FS II (green) and Mārupe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rīgas FS II | LLWLL | 2.00 | 3.70 | 90% | 80% |
| Mārupe | DWLLW | 1.20 | 1.80 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Mārupe 1–4 Rīgas FS II