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Bundesliga · Austria
Ried vs Austria Vienna prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ried host Austria Vienna in the Bundesliga (Austria) on 17 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ried 3–2 Austria Vienna.
Going into the match, Ried had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 17. Austria Vienna had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Ried's last 10 and 4 of Austria Vienna's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ried averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Austria Vienna averaged 2.43 scored and 1.21 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.65 goals from Ried and 1.52 from Austria Vienna. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 34%, against 39%, 27% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ried (green) and Austria Vienna (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ried | WDWDW | 2.10 | 1.70 | 90% | 70% |
| Austria Vienna | LWDWW | 1.90 | 1.30 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Bundesliga matches that day
- Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–4