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USL League One · USA
Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Richmond Kickers host One Knoxville in the USL League One (USA) on 3 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Richmond Kickers 3–2 One Knoxville.
Going into the match, Richmond Kickers had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 23. One Knoxville had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Richmond Kickers's last 10 and 8 of One Knoxville's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Richmond Kickers averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 15 matches; away from home One Knoxville averaged 1.56 scored and 1.38 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.29 goals from Richmond Kickers and 1.89 from One Knoxville. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 51%, against 22%, 24% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Richmond Kickers (green) and One Knoxville (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Kickers | LLLDL | 1.40 | 2.30 | 80% | 60% |
| One Knoxville | DLWDW | 1.30 | 1.10 | 80% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.29 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.59 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.59 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| One Knoxville Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| One Knoxville HT & FT | 38% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.