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Premier Soccer League · South Africa
Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Richards Bay host Mamelodi Sundowns in the Premier Soccer League (South Africa) on 13 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Mamelodi Sundowns Win — Mamelodi Sundowns to win. It was published at odds of 1.27, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Richards Bay 1–4 Mamelodi Sundowns.
Going into the match, Richards Bay had won 0, drawn 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 19. Mamelodi Sundowns had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Richards Bay's last 10 and 5 of Mamelodi Sundowns's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Richards Bay averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Mamelodi Sundowns averaged 1.38 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from Richards Bay and 2.86 from Mamelodi Sundowns. From that it rates a home win at 8%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 77%, against 12%, 18% and 70% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Richards Bay (green) and Mamelodi Sundowns (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richards Bay | LLLDD | 1.10 | 1.90 | 90% | 50% |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | WWDWW | 2.20 | 0.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · Richards Bay 0–0 Mamelodi Sundowns
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Mamelodi Sundowns Win | 71% | 1.27 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 63% | 1.40 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.