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Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rep. Of Ireland host Israel in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 4 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rep. Of Ireland 1–1 Israel.
Going into the match, Rep. Of Ireland had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 6 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Israel had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4, with 2 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Rep. Of Ireland's last 6 and 1 of Israel's last 4; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rep. Of Ireland averaged 2.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Israel averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 45% for Rep. Of Ireland, 28% for the draw and 27% for Israel once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rep. Of Ireland (green) and Israel (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rep. Of Ireland | DWLDW | 2.00 | 0.67 | 33% | 50% |
| Israel | DLLW | 0.50 | 1.50 | 25% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 6 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Sep 2026 · Israel 0–3 Rep. Of Ireland
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Rep. Of Ireland Win | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.