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Segunda División · Uruguay
Rentistas vs La Luz prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Complejo Rentistas, Montevideo
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rentistas host La Luz in the Segunda División (Uruguay) on 31 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Rentistas had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. La Luz had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Rentistas's last 10 and 4 of La Luz's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rentistas averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.07 conceded across 15 matches; away from home La Luz averaged 0.54 scored and 0.69 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Rentistas and 0.91 from La Luz. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 27%, against 42%, 29% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rentistas (green) and La Luz (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · La Luz 2–5 Rentistas
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
| Rentistas Win | 41% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.