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UEFA Europa League · International
Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction and preview
4 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC · Roazhon Park, Rennes
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rennes host Olympiakos Piraeus in the UEFA Europa League (International) on 4 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Rennes had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 18. Olympiakos Piraeus had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Rennes's last 10 and 2 of Olympiakos Piraeus's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rennes averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Olympiakos Piraeus averaged 1.47 scored and 1.00 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.00 goals from Rennes and 1.58 from Olympiakos Piraeus. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 50%, against 41%, 27% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rennes (green) and Olympiakos Piraeus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | LWDLW | 1.70 | 1.80 | 50% | 70% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | WWWWW | 1.80 | 0.40 | 20% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.