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Serie A · Brazil
Remo vs Gremio prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Remo host Gremio in the Serie A (Brazil) on 7 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Remo 1–1 Gremio.
Going into the match, Remo had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 16. Gremio had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Remo's last 10 and 5 of Gremio's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Remo averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Gremio averaged 0.88 scored and 1.12 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Remo and 1.11 from Gremio. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 34%, against 40%, 29% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Remo (green) and Gremio (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.