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Kakkonen - Lohko A · Finland
Reipas vs Union Plaani prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Reipas host Union Plaani in the Kakkonen - Lohko A (Finland) on 3 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Union Plaani to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Reipas 4–0 Union Plaani.
Going into the match, Reipas had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 21. Union Plaani had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Reipas's last 10 and 4 of Union Plaani's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Reipas averaged 2.42 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Union Plaani averaged 1.45 scored and 2.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.25 goals from Reipas and 1.30 from Union Plaani. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 20%, against 45%, 22% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 42%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Reipas (green) and Union Plaani (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reipas | WLDLL | 1.80 | 2.10 | 70% | 70% |
| Union Plaani | DWWWW | 1.90 | 1.60 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Sep 2026 · Union Plaani 1–0 Reipas
- 22 Aug 2026 · Union Plaani 1–0 Reipas
- 13 Jun 2026 · Reipas 4–2 Union Plaani
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 67% | 1.36 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 65% | 1.41 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.85 |
| Union Plaani Win | 33% | 2.70 |
| Reipas HT & FT | 29% | 3.24 |
| 1-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.