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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Redcar Athletic host Alfreton Town in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Redcar Athletic 3–1 Alfreton Town.
Going into the match, Redcar Athletic had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 8. Alfreton Town had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Redcar Athletic's last 10 and 4 of Alfreton Town's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Redcar Athletic averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Alfreton Town averaged 1.33 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.77 goals from Redcar Athletic and 0.76 from Alfreton Town. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 15%, against 50%, 24% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Redcar Athletic (green) and Alfreton Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redcar Athletic | WDLWW | 2.00 | 0.80 | 50% | 50% |
| Alfreton Town | WWLLW | 1.60 | 1.10 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.47 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Redcar Athletic Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Redcar Athletic HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.