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Copa Federacion · Spain
Recreativo Huelva vs Navalcarnero prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Recreativo Huelva host Navalcarnero in the Copa Federacion (Spain) on 14 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Navalcarnero to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 52% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Recreativo Huelva 2–2 Navalcarnero.
Going into the match, Recreativo Huelva had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 13. Navalcarnero had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Recreativo Huelva's last 10 and 7 of Navalcarnero's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Recreativo Huelva averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.07 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Navalcarnero averaged 1.43 scored and 0.86 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from Recreativo Huelva and 1.81 from Navalcarnero. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 43%, against 47%, 30% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Recreativo Huelva (green) and Navalcarnero (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo Huelva | WDWDW | 2.00 | 1.30 | 70% | 70% |
| Navalcarnero | DWWLW | 1.90 | 1.10 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.77 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Recreativo Huelva HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.