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Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Spain
Recreativo Huelva vs Las Palmas II prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Recreativo Huelva host Las Palmas II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Recreativo Huelva Win — Recreativo Huelva to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Recreativo Huelva 4–0 Las Palmas II.
Going into the match, Recreativo Huelva had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Las Palmas II had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 8, with 4 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Recreativo Huelva's last 10 and 2 of Las Palmas II's last 8; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Recreativo Huelva averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Las Palmas II averaged 0.50 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.10 goals from Recreativo Huelva and 0.74 from Las Palmas II. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 11%, against 58%, 26% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Recreativo Huelva (green) and Las Palmas II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo Huelva | WLWWL | 1.70 | 1.30 | 60% | 70% |
| Las Palmas II | DWLLD | 0.50 | 1.25 | 25% | 38% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| Recreativo Huelva Win | 58% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Recreativo Huelva HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.