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Primera B · Chile
Recoleta vs Santiago Wanderers prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Recoleta host Santiago Wanderers in the Primera B (Chile) on 3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Recoleta 2–1 Santiago Wanderers.
Going into the match, Recoleta had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Santiago Wanderers had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Recoleta's last 10 and 4 of Santiago Wanderers's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Recoleta averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Santiago Wanderers averaged 1.17 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from Recoleta and 1.32 from Santiago Wanderers. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 32%, against 35%, 28% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Recoleta (green) and Santiago Wanderers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recoleta | DWWDL | 1.20 | 1.00 | 60% | 50% |
| Santiago Wanderers | LLWWW | 0.90 | 1.20 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Santiago Wanderers Win | 38% | 2.38 |
| 0-1 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.