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Primera B · Chile
Recoleta vs Magallanes prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Recoleta host Magallanes in the Primera B (Chile) on 10 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.64, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Recoleta 1–2 Magallanes.
Going into the match, Recoleta had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Magallanes had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Recoleta's last 10 and 6 of Magallanes's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Recoleta averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Magallanes averaged 1.25 scored and 1.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from Recoleta and 1.32 from Magallanes. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 31%, against 40%, 27% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recoleta | WDWWD | 1.40 | 1.00 | 70% | 60% |
| Magallanes | WWDDL | 1.80 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Magallanes 3–2 Recoleta
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Recoleta Win | 39% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.