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Primera Premier · Mexico
Reboceros La Piedad vs Los Cabos United prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Reboceros La Piedad host Los Cabos United in the Primera Premier (Mexico) on 10 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Los Cabos United to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 48% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Reboceros La Piedad 2–1 Los Cabos United.
Going into the match, Reboceros La Piedad had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 7 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Los Cabos United had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 7, with 6 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Reboceros La Piedad's last 7 and 3 of Los Cabos United's last 7; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Reboceros La Piedad averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Los Cabos United averaged 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.83 goals from Reboceros La Piedad and 1.33 from Los Cabos United. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 27%, against 51%, 27% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Reboceros La Piedad (green) and Los Cabos United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reboceros La Piedad | DLWWW | 1.86 | 1.14 | 43% | 71% |
| Los Cabos United | LWWWL | 0.86 | 1.29 | 43% | 43% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Reboceros La Piedad HT & FT | 33% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.